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Regional Perspective
By
Gerald Kells Regional Planning Officer
Worcestershire will be in the firing line if plans for
increased housing are rolled out across the West Midlands region.The
Government, obsessed with reaching housing targets, has been putting pressure
on the Regional Assembly to increase its housing provision over the next 20 years to near 380,000 as part of the second phase of the Regional Spatial
Strategy revision.This is much higher than the 285,000 that CPRE believes we can
accommodate on brownfield land, with the emphasis on
affordable houses.
To achieve this increase, the Assembly is concentrating on what
it calls growth areas, where it believes new housing can sustainably
be located. One of those isWorcester,
for which it is promoting 10,500 houses, but with 7,300 built in the
adjoining districts ofWychavon
and Malvern Hills.This would require substantial greenfeld development, along with new business parks in the
countryside and the promotion of a new bypass. Although the aim is for
sustainable communities, it is unclear where the funding would come from for
improved transport to make the new settlement cohere with the city, or how
other environmental constraints would be addressed.
Another growth point would beRedditch, which would get 6,600 new homes but
with 3,300 built in Bromsgrove District.This would
cause the loss of some Green Belt as well as green field land.
Despite all this, the Assembly
remains committed to a strategy centred on the
regeneration of the Major Urban Areas.Birmingham's
housing numbers go up, as doCoventry's,
albeit with extensions into the Green Belt, but one cannot
help thinking that volume house builders will find it
easier and more profitable to build on open fields, and that those citizens
with the means to do so will move out of the region's core towns and cities to
these new houses and commute back to the conurbation.
And there is the question of do we need all these houses?The Assembly's own risk assessment warns that
over-provision is more dangerous than under-provision, leading to a spiral of
environmental and social problems.We can, after all,
increase the numbers if predictions turn out to be under-estimates, but we cannot'unbuild'the new estates.
In
December we anticipate a Preferred Option for the new strategy, followed by an
Examination in Public in the autumn of 2008. CPRE will be there, arguing that
we need a balanced approach to housing, not'numbers
driven' but sustainable and fully justified. And it is vital that we do, for
the House Builders' lobby is never satisfied.They are
always arguing for more.
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Possible Housing Targets For 2006 to 2026
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based on the latest available projections coming from the Regional Assembly and compares
thenumber of new dwellings with the actual dwelling stock as of March 2006.
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Location
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New
dwellings
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Percentage
increase
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West Midland Region
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338,500
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15%
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Worcestershire
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36,600
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15%
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WyreForest
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3,400
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8%
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Bromsgrove
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2,100
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6%
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(plus overflow from Redditchr)
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Redditch
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6,600
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20%
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(plus overflow from Bromsgrove)
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Worcester
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10,500
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26%
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(c.7,000 outside boundary)
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Wychavon
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9,100
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19%
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(plus overflow from Worcester)
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Malvern
Hills
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4,900
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16%
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(plus overflow from Worcester)
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